TyreeIt’s that time of year again.  Superbowl Sunday is approaching.   It’s crazy how quick the season goes by.  I can’t believe that we are down to 2 teams and season will be over after Sunday.   I hope to end on a positive note as the last 2 weeks have been brutal.  We went 0-2 in the conference championship games.   Just didn’t see the games turning out the way they did.  I was behind the wrong horse with the Colts.  I really thought that after being embarrassed by the Pats the last couple of years that this was their time to stand up.  Boy I was wrong.    Regardless of what happens with this game we will stay above .500 for all picks and still had a nice 60% clip on the Best bet selections.  Overall I am happy with how the picks ended up.


Everyone knows about Deflategate and I’m not going to waste anyone’s time on it.   I will only say this one thing.  If it was a close game vs the Colts then I could see the story having legs.  The Colts were so over-matched it wouldn’t have mattered if they were using a fucking beach ball to play with.   However, I get the uproar because it’s the Patriots and they are known cheaters so it sticks people the wrong way.  But if you think that the balls haven’t been tampered by various teams over the years then I think you are being naive.

I think the Green Bay packers should be sending the Patriots a gift basket or something as their choke job, which could have been the worst in league history , has just been passed over because everyone wants to talk about deflated footballs.   If I’m a Packers fan I feel dead inside and that feeling is only going to get worse as the game gets closer.    How do you not close out that game?  Russell Wilson is terrible and tried so many times to give you that game.    The 2 things I really questioned was why did they not challenge Richard Sherman when he was clearly playing on 1 arm.  One first down and that game is over so go after him.   The other play was that the 2 point conversion.  I think that was the turning point where Seattle really thought they might be able to steal the game.   That was such an improbable play their confidence must have soared.    After the game was over I was thinking that Seattle is probably the most undeserving team to win a game that I can remember to win a game in a long time.

I find the Marshawn Lynch coverage pretty funny and I’m trying to think of a more meaningless story ever.   The media coverage at the Super Bowl has gone just way to far to begin with and now you have stories about a guy not saying anything.  Makes no sense and a waste of everyone’s time but I love how defiant he is like he’s standing up for something that matters.  Care


Seven years ago the picture above happened.   With the run up to the Super Bowl they show on NFL Network all of the Super Bowl Specials and I DVR’ed the Super Bowl 42 edition.  I had myself a nice little trip down memory lane.  It’s one of the few days that I remember specific details from the entire day even after consuming massive amounts of alcohol.   I also remember smoking 12 packs of cigarettes.  Man I miss smoking.  Cigarettes are just the tops.    Anyway as I was watching the show I started to remember the emotion of that day.  With the exception of the birth of my child and my wedding then Super Bowl 42 was probably the 3rd happiest time of my life.   The feeling I got when Plaxico caught his Sluggo route in the corner of the end zone with 35 seconds left  I have never felt watching any sporting event before or after.   I just watched that play  about 5 times on YouTube and I still get the chills each time.   That game was played a day after my 30th birthday and was the best birthday present I have ever received.

Since this is probably the last edition of the season (however I really hope to put some other editions during the year) I thought I would share some interesting stats for parlaysandteasers.com.  I use WordPress to do this blog and it’s a pretty cool platform.  They give you some stats to see the traffic on the site:

# of total views all time:  1012   (That actually isn’t that bad considering I only send this to about a dozen people each week.)

Busiest day in history of the site was this season’s Week 7: Plow Horse with 25 views.  Makes sense as it was dead in the middle of a strong middle of the season for the picks.

Lastly, it actually gives a breakdown of the geographic location of who visits by country.  Obviously the US was first but take a look at the other countries.

My Stats — WordPressajpg_Page1

Moldova?  That’s fucking awesome.  I’m sure it was just some hacker spam program but I just imagine some guy in Moldova sitting there just refreshing his screen all week to see the next highly anticipated edition of Parlays and Teasers to determine if he should take the under in the Ravens Steelers game.   I also picture that would be more entertaining than whatever Moldova has to offer.   Does anyone know where Moldova is?  I had no clue and so evidently is sandwiched between economic powerhouses Romania and Ukraine.   That has to be quite possibly just the worst existence in the world.    Go Fuck yourself Moldova


The biggest problem I had with the blog is I would think of something to write and then I would immediately forget it.  I started writing things on the Notes app on the Iphone but sometimes I was too lazy to set reminders for myself.   At some point this week I saw a video and was convinced that was going to be the Vid of the Week but I cannot remember what it was.  So with that being said I’ll just have to go to plan B so here’s Rodney Dangerfield Standup for a few minutes.  More on him below.



Thought I would end the year on an Apple kick to just reinforce the point.

444317245458The Blue Line is Samsung’s Global Phone Shipments.  The Red Line is Apple’s Global Shipments.  Last quarter, Apple shipped 74.5 million Iphones.  Let that number sink in for a second.  74.5 million phones in 3 months.    That’s fucking insane.  Why you ask?  Obviously everyone knows that there was a huge build up for a new phone as the product cycle was due for an update.  The biggest push came from some key international markets like China, India, Brazil, Japan, Korea.  In many of these places the Iphone has either not really been available or had very limited availability.  This will only continue on the international side.   No other company in the world can make up that type of ground in 1 quarter.   Samsung may very well take back the top spot next quarter but the damage has been done.

Some of the AAPL bears talk about the downturn in the IPad sales as a negative as the new Iphone6 being a larger screen is cannibalizing the Ipad.  They are probably right with a bigger screen you probably don’t need an Ipad.   Tablet sales in general will suffer across the board with bigger phones.  However, that’s what makes AAPL strategy so unique.  They don’t care.  The same thing happened with the Ipod.  The Ipod use to be the biggest growth driver for the company.   The Ipod was cannibalized by Iphone and looked what happened.

On the fundamental side, given their level of current earnings, AAPL is trading at a multiple of 9 or 10 times earnings.   That’s basically the same as a Utility company which is ridiculous given the growth AAPL has.  The overall market, say the S&P 500, trades at about 17 times earnings.    So you can make the argument that AAPL is still cheap compared to the overall market.   If AAPL just started trading at a normal market multiple the price would be much higher.    #2 Their cash reserves ballooned to about $ 180 billion dollars.  This money is making nothing as rates are so low.   What could they do with that money?   More than likely they will return some of that money to shareholders through dividends and stock buy backs.  FYI….the more they buy back the stock the better.   Many investors wish they would increase their buyback by a large amount but they have been on a slow and steady approach.   They also could start making some acquisitions.  That is so much cash that if they wanted to buy a company outright they would be able to do that to 480 out of 500 companies in the S&P 500.  I think they will probably make some smaller acquisitions like they did with Beats headphones earlier in the year to just strengthen their current products.  Looks like the watch will be released sometime this year but I don’t really think that will be a huge needle mover.  If I’m wrong then it’s only a positive.  I think the real next big wave they are going to be on the rise will be Apple Pay.  If that becomes an easier way to pay then that’s only going to sell more phones while they finish up their next big product.  Who knows what that will be?  All I know is that Jony Ive is a genius and creates products that people flock to.  If that stops then the story changes but it doesn’t appear to me that stopping anytime soon.

Lastly, #2 pick Visa has been killing it the last few months after a while of stagnation.  They also just announced a 4-1 split.  Get In!


The Line:  NE -1 vs. Seattle, O/U 47.5

This is the first Superbowl that I can remember where you haven’t really seen much in the way of the matchups between the teams on TV.  It’s been more about microphones and airpumps but it appears that both teams matchup pretty equally.   That’s about as much analysis I’m going to put into it.   I think whoever can run the ball better wins as I definitely feel like it’s going to be low scoring.  I think the total is way too high.  I have little to no confidence in Russell Wilson as I eluded to earlier.  I’ve never seen so much praise get thrown on a guy who isn’t good.   I also think that  Brady and Belichick being so pissed off that they are getting put through the ringer and will have a huge chip on their shoulders.   So for those reason Hal like the Pats and the under.  I’m going to Best Bet that under.   I would also lay down the parlay on that.   I’m going to throw a few prop bets below as well.  I will have a total of 4 straight up bets and 1 Parlay so this way if I lose all 4 stright up I will still finish the season total with a .500 record

PICK #1  NE -1

PICK #2 Under 47.5  (Best Bet)**

Parlay (NE -1 & Under 47.5)

Prop Bet #1  R Wilson Total Passing Yds Under 219.5  (-105)

Prop Bet #2  Which Coach will be shown first on TV after Kickoff.  Belichick -140   (I would assume he’s going to be shown far more than Carroll.  He is even money)

There are some real great ones like national gas prices on Monday vs Russell Wilson passing yards.  Or which team will win along with Punxsutawney Phil either seeing or not seeing his shadow.  Take a look for yourself:



Playoff Week 3 Results 0-2


Regular Season + Playoffs YTD Results 100-95

Best Bets YTD 23-16

Parlays YTD 1-1

Teasers YTD 2-0

Quote of the Week

I don’t know why I didn’t think of this earlier.  I should have just been putting down Rodney Dangerfield one liners the whole time for the quote of the week.  During one of the recent trips to a bachelor party or wedding I remember talking about the behind the scenes special about Caddyshack.   It was actually on the other day and it got me thinking of this.  Some quick notes about Caddyshack, the golf course it was shot at is now called Grande Oaks in Davie, FL.  It ‘s about a mile right down the street from my old house.  Never got to play there but still looks like a real nice track.   I didn’t know until watching that special that the pool scenes were shot at another course which is now called Plantation Preserve which was literally right across Broward Blvd from my old place and is still my favorite course down there.   The pool is no longer there though.

Sorry for that quick interjection.

This Week’s:

-“I told my wife the truth. I told her I was seeing a psychiatrist. Then she told me the truth: that she was seeing a psychiatrist, two plumbers, and a bartender.”

-Rodney Dangerfield



The division round just did not fall our way like the wild card round did.  We went a disappointing 1-3.   Normally with shitty results like that I would be disappointed but I really still feel good about the losing picks.  My keys pretty much came true but just wasn’t on the right side of the lines.  Even in hindsight I don’t think I would have changed the bets and here’s why:

I absolutely nailed Peyton Manning looking like garbage.  He was clearly playing hurt but he is just not a clutch quarterback.  Never has been.  He is the best regular season QB in the history of the game but he is not the same player in the playoffs.  I’ve said in a million times, in the regular season there’s no one better but in a big spot I would rather have his brother.   This was our only victory last week.

If the Pats didn’t come out so flat and spot the Ravens 14 points then that game would have been an easy win vs. a close lose.   They moved the ball and basically ran the same 2 plays over and over again.

Carolina was driving to cover late in the game and Newton throws a pick 6 in the red zone.  Another analysis that was accurate.  I said if Newton turns the ball over then they wouldn’t cover and if he didn’t then it would be a no brainer.  He turned the ball over a couple of times and they stilled almost pulled out a cover.  That game was much closer than the final score indicated.  It was tight the majority of the game.

With the Packers / Cowboys game, I don’t think anyone knew what kind of shape that Aaron Rodgers was going to be in.  You could tell he wasn’t moving well so if I had know that I probably would have went with the Cowboys but no one knew what shape he was in except for Green Bay and they hid it pretty well.   Obviously another close game that just wasn’t on the right side of the line.

That’s gambling I guess.


I love watching the coaching carousel go around and around.  It’s actually quite amusing.  It’s great that one team might want nothing to do with a guy and another think he is the savior.  I think the couple of moves that will be interesting to watch.  Rex Ryan to the Bills is funny on many levels.  His problem will be the same with the Jets being that he currently doesn’t have a quarterback.  John Fox to Da Bears is a good move for them and one that seems to make sense.  He’ll get that defense back to a better state but again you have a big question mark at QB there.  If Cutler gets his act together then he could have success there.

I again got to watch all of the games this weekend and obviously there was some big moments.  I guess the biggest would be “The Reversal.”  Let me get this out of the way.  I don’t like the rule and I think most observers would say that’s as close to a catch that you are going to get.  However, that’s the current rule and I think they got the call correct according to the rule.  That doesn’t necessarily mean I agree with it.   I would think they will take a look at the rule but I really don’t see how you can change it.  The way it’s written now there’s not much room for error.  You have to maintain control all the way through.  Once you start opening that up it can be looked in too many ways.   I would like to see them change it but I just don’t know how they are going to make it work.



untitledaI haven’t watched Biggest Loser in a while but I saw that ex NFL QB Scott Mitchell is on this season and he weighed in at 366.  That’s fucking crazy to me.  This guy was a professional athlete for Christ sake.  How do you let yourself go like that?  It sounds like there is some sob story behind which I don’t really care to find out about.  I totally understand packing on some pounds as you get older.  In fact my own waste line is a fucking disaster but what the fuck man.   I would think once you hit 300 a bell would go off and you would maybe start doing something about it.  I’m sure he has some money as he signed some terribly large and underserving contracts.   To give you perspective, former Offensive tackle Damien Woody is on the show and he weighed in at 388.  But he’s a offensive lineman.  I’m sure he played his whole career well over 300 lbs. so it’s not a stretch for him to be in that stratosphere..


I’m back on the comedian Video of the Week kick.  It’s Bill Burr so you know it’s good.  It’s from a Conan interview that was on I guess at the beginning of the season.  I didn’t even know that Conan was still on.  It’s well worth 3 minutes.  In other Bill Burr news he was a new stand up special on Netflix which I caught last week.  It’s real good too but the whole thing is in black and white which I didn’t really care for but overall a good special.


cotw-2015-0119-chartVery interesting chart of Gold.  It’s basically been a straight down move for the precious metal for over a year now.  It’s starting to show a little stability however the strong dollar will keep a cap on it for the most part.  However, there will be a time in the future where gold will have it’s day again especially once all of the central banks maneuvering comes to roost.


These fucking lines are tough.  They are making you almost have to take the road teams.   Both lines are -7 to the home teams.  That’s a ton of points at this point in the season.

Patriots -7 vs. Colts 

I don’t know what it is but I just think that the Colts are that team that people have overlooked and will make it to the Super Bowl.  The Pats really haven’t looked all that great at times and they are so limited with weapons.  Andrew Luck is the next great player in this league and he can will his team to a win.  I would think the best risk reward bet this week would be the Colts moneyline as I think they can win straight up.   Chuck Strong is such an emotional guy that’s been playing a role in the last few games.  Give me the boys from Indy with the Points. PICK Colts +7 

Seattle -7 vs. Pack 

The elephant in the room is obviously how mobile will Aaron Rodgers be.  He had one of those Willis Reed moments last week where he gutted out a very nice performance but he was clearly limited.  If he is the same as he was vs. the Cowboys then it’s going to be a long day for the Pack.  I would assume that Seattle is going to bring as much pressure as they can and use their physical corners to lock up the GB wide receivers.   PICK Seahawks -7


Playoff Week 2 Results 1-3


Regular Season + Playoffs YTD Results 100-93

Best Bets YTD 23-16

Parlays YTD 1-1

Teasers YTD 2-0

Quote of the Week

This Week’s:

-“I was in a bathroom stall and someone had written ‘For a good time call this number’ so I called it.  It was a petting zoo.  It was a great time.   They had Ducks.

-Zach Smith


The wild card weekend started off very nice in Parlays and Teasers Land.  We went a real solid 3-1.  Just missed making it a perfect week with Dallas not able to cover.   Going into the Cowboys Lions game I was thinking I was sitting in a good spot as I figured if the Cowboys won and covered I would have a perfect week and if they lost then I would be happy too.  Alas, it was not meant to be as they won but didn’t cover but it doesn’t ruin a good start to the post season


I surprisingly got to watch decent amounts of all of the games and they were all decent to watch.  The best game was the aforementioned Dallas Detroit game.    There obviously been a ton of chatter about this game most notably the pass interference flag and Chris Christie.  Here’s my take on both items:

Regarding the pass interference call, my personal opinion is I thought it was a penalty in real speed and on the replay.   That’s not really the important part.  I actually wouldn’t of had a problem if it was called or even it wasn’t called.  Watching all of the games last weekend, it seemed clear to me the refs were letting much more go than during the regular season.  I saw many plays were there was a good amount of jostling going on and nothing being called.  So if they didn’t call it, then I wouldn’t have been shocked.    The main issue I have with it is picking up a flag from the ref who had the closest and clearest view of the play which defies logic.    Also, by starting that precedent where flags can be picked up is only going to make things worse in future games.   Either make every fucking play reviewable or let the refs make the calls.   Stop with the second guessing garbage, there’s no need for it and it just creates confusion.

On to the portly presidential candidate from the Garden State, oh where do I begin?  First, let me say I really don’t have any problem with him being a Cowboys fan.  He can cheer for whatever team he wants.   My main problem is that he has to know that cameras are going to be on Jones’ luxury box and doesn’t think that’s a bad idea so I have to question his judgment at a minimum.  I also have to question his ethical stance as you can’t be a rational person and believe all of that was on the up and up.   As much as they want to spin it that it didn’t cost the NJ taxpayers anything, it did because they have to bring security outfits to protect his chubbiness.  Stories are now coming out about some business connections between him and Jones which is the real reason that they are such close friends all of a sudden.  Lastly, and most important, if you are going to claim your allegiance to the Cowboys then you are not allowed to do this:

images  ccNext time a team from your state wins the Super Bowl leave your sausage fingers off the thing.  You can’t have both.


-It’s amazing how finicky fantasy football can be sometimes.  I watched in amazement as some of the players I picked either had a TD called back due to penalty or a being just short.  Antonio Brown caught a long pass from Big Ben that was initially ruled a TD but was nullified by him being down at the half yard line.  Cody Fleener has a TD called back due to penalty.  Torrey Smith had a second TD in his grasp but couldn’t get his second foot down.  I don’t think I had seen a week where no less than 4TDs didn’t happen for one reason or another.   It didn’t really matter as I didn’t hit submit on Fan Duel before the deadline so it was all for not but amazing regardless.

-Here are a list of Movies I have never seen before:

Any of the Harry Potters (haven’t seen 1 minute of them.  However, I have been on the Harry Potter ride at Disney World)

None of the recent Batmans or Dark Knights (I think the last one I saw was the one where Danny DeVito was the Penguin.  That happened right?)

The Iron Man Series (I’ve seen parts of #1 but never the whole thing.  Bored to Death)

Any of the Transformers (I was always more a Voltron kid)

Any of the Lord of the Rings (Is that the same as Harry Potter?)

None of these movies can hold a candle to; Back to the Future II, Midnight Madness, Can’t Hardly Wait, Airborne, North Shore or Commando.  All of which I’ve seen dozens if not hundreds of times.

-Did you see the broad who was on the Jumbotron at the Alabama OSU game stroking the guys hair?  After realizing she was on TV she freaks.  It’s come out since that she claims she was reacting to the play on the field and they are together.  I guess that’s a reasonable explanation but she acted in an embarrassed or caught manner.  I actually feel bad for this broad as regardless of what the real story is she will always be remembered as a cheating girlfriend or whatever.   I’m sure she comes from some hick town in Alabama and get snickered at in the town square all day long.  Dumb broad.


I saw this and it’s pretty funny about having kids.  In his case 4 kids, which sounds like fucking lunacy to me.


QB  T Romo $8600

RB  CJ Anderson $8700

RB D Herron $6100

WR S Smith $6600

WR T Williams $5800

WR K Benjamin $6400

TE Gronk $7900

K  D Bailey $4600

D  Seahawks $5200


ON-BH758_GTChar_NS_20141231151321That is what you call a multi year rip your face off rally.   The multiple V shaped recoveries time after time are pretty incredible to look at on the chart.   However, my feeling is the uptrend should continue but not on a such steep incline and those pullbacks will become more common.


Patriots -7 vs. Ravens

Weather is going to be a factor in a couple of these games.   Game temp will be in 20s and wind chill in the teens.  The Ravens looked pretty good last week but in my opinion the Steelers weren’t a very good team to begin with and were without their starting running back.  I’ll take Tom Brady in those conditions.   PICK Pats -7 

Seattle -11 vs. Panthers

I’m so torn with this game.   Even though the Panthers shouldn’t be able to move the ball that well, I don’t like Seattle’s offense that much.  The Carolina D has been playing pretty well and that’s just a big number to cover.  If Newton doesn’t turn the ball over then this is a slam dunk.  However if he does it could get ugly.  PICK Panthers +11

 Pack -6 vs. Cowboys

This one is easy for me as it’s all about the weather and not really about the teams.   This game’s temp will be in teens and wind chill in the single digits and maybe some snow.  I think GB is just built a little better for those conditions.  If this game was in a dome I would probably have different feelings.   PICK Pack -6

Denver -7 vs. Colts

Maybe its me but I’m just not a believer in Peyton Manning, he hasn’t looked good in at least a month and he’s never been the greatest in the playoffs.  I like Andrew Luck to keep them in the game to keep it close enough to cover.  PICK Colts +7


Playoff Week 1 Results 3-1

Regular Season + Playoffs YTD Results 99-89

Best Bets YTD 23-16

Parlays YTD 1-1

Teasers YTD 2-0

Quote of the Week

This week’s which is my favorite line from the Video of the Week:

-You want to know what it’s like to have a 4th kid?    Imaging you are drowning.  Then someone hands you a baby.

-Jim Gaffigan


Welcome back all to a new playoff edition of Parlays and Teasers.  I hope everyone has had a nice holiday season and it’s great to be back.  I took a nice little siesta from the website.  There were a few reasons for this.  First and probably most important, time during the holidays obviously gets more and more hard to come by.  I just couldn’t find time to get thoughts to pen and paper before the games were starting.  I find it fascinating that the guys who write serious blogs have the time to write so frequently.    Secondly, I found myself really struggling to pick any games.  I was rally starting to have too many doubts.   It is actually quite reminiscent of being on an extremely hot blackjack table and then realizing that it’s turning on you.  Many of you degenerates that read this blog can relate to this.   There are sometimes during a silly run of cards where you can do no wrong.  Splits, double downs…It doesn’t matter you are going to win the majority of hands.    There’s nothing better than that feeling, the booze is flowing, people are cursing and screaming and have everyone is having a grand old time.

Then all of a sudden something changes.

It could be a new dealer, it could be some douche not hitting or staying when they should be that kills the vibe or it could be you have to take a piss or a call.  I got the same feeling back in week 14.  I was on about a 2 month tear winning at a 70% clip.  I knew that wasn’t sustainable so instead of still sitting at that table and losing all the gains I was able to step back and reevaluate.   Week 14 I just had no idea what was going on.  I decided to take a step back and let the games play out and then focus on the playoffs.  Overall, in the regular season, I went 96-88 on all picks and 23-16 on Best bets(59%).  It was a solid year but not as spectacular as it could have been.


And then there were 12.   No real surprises except for maybe Carolina getting on a little roll and taking the NFC South.  That’s not really surprising considering the records of that division.    There are some decent games this wild card weekend.    The nice thing about having such few games I can throw my 2 cents in and be a little more detailed on each picks, ala previous years of P&T.


So this past week was in essence the end of my use of the Direct TV Sunday NFL Ticket as obviously all of the playoff games are shown on national TV going forward.  I wanted to use the opportunity to compare costs of having it vs not.   The costs for the season of the package is about $250.  At first glance that seems a little high but when you dig deep down then it really isn’t that bad.   Most teams have a handful of games on Monday, Sunday or Thursday night Football.   Using my NY Football Giants as an example, I think they had 5 primetime games this year which leads to 11 games with the potential of needing the Ticket to be able to watch since I out of the local NY/NJ viewing area.   In fact, since they were pretty terrible I don’t recall them ever being a game of the week where they were a national game so let’s just say I needed the Ticket to watch 10 of their game to make the math easy.   So let’s first review the costs of 10 trips to the sportsbar.   This is the part where it can be up for debate.   You could go economically and just drink beer specials and not eat anything.  If that’s the case you could probably get out of there only spending say $20 if there are bucket specials or something but that sounds so boring.  I would think though on average you’re going to spending about $40-50 per trip with tip and all that jazz.  I mean your there for 4 hours for cry pete.   You easily could spend more but for argument sake let’s say that’s an average for a normal Sunday.   Let’s call it $500 for the season, could be more or less.  So going back to the review of the NFL ticket.  It’s $250 plus the cost of whatever you would consume at home.  I totally drank more for the later games than I would for the early games.  Side note, what’s funny is that is the exact opposite before I became a grown up.  I use to drink so much more for the early games because that’s what you do when you have no responsibilities.  In any event, I would seem to buy a case of beer once every 2 weeks.  Case of Coors light is about $15 give or take.  Let’s call that 5 cases of beer for those 10 games and were looking at $75.  I would normally eat whatever was around the house and never really bought something specific for game days at home.  Total cost of NFL Ticket:  $325.  Now the cost is only the first part of it.  The second part and something that is way more important is the ability to tape games in case you weren’t going to be around for kickoff.  I know for a few of those games I was either running late or maybe driving back to the house and was just able to tape while being careful not to see scores or anything.  It’s great blowing through the commercials and being able to catch up by halftime.    I think the cost and flexibility of the ticket is well worth it if you are not in the main viewing area of your teams.

I got pulled over the other day in a town called Marshville in the middle of the nowhere in NC.  Now I was speeding, he said I was doing 53 in a 35.  Also, I still have my old Florida plates that I haven’t changed over yet.  That FL registration expired in February of 2014.    For some reason the cop left me off with a warning only.  The lesson I leaned that day was I can speed without having proper state registration and there are no consequences for that.

Lastly, Where did the phrase “broke the internet” come from?  I heard a few times the last couple of weeks and it’s like hearing nails on a chalk board.  I first heard it when Kim Kardashian posed for some photoshopped pictures of her ass and cans.   Please do not say this phrase.


I’m back on big people falling kick


QB  B Roethlisberger  $8500

RB  J Hill $7400

RB J Harris $5600

WR T Smith $7100

WR A Brown $9200

WR G Tate $6800

TE C Fleener $5500

K  M Nugent $4600

D  Panthers $5300

It so much easier to put a lineup together with less guys to choose form.



Not really a stock chart but interesting look at home prices which seem to be leveling off a little but still near multi year highs.   I wish I had a bunch of cash burning a hole in my pocket in 2008 to buy a shit ton of real estate.  Would have been a nice trade.


Panthers -6.5 vs. Cardinals

Even though the Cards are a crazy 11-5 ATS this year I just cant see them winning on the road with a 3rd string QB.  Carolina has got all the momentum and are home.  PICK  Panthers -6.5

Steelers -3 vs. Ravens

I’m not sure if this line has moved but Le’Veon Bell was just declared out so I’m going to take the Ravens to cover and all the Steelers skill players in Fantasy to make up for the loss of Bell.  PICK Ravens +3

Colts -3.5 vs. Bengals

To be honest neither team really deserves any boasts of confidence as both have been so up and down to close the season.  I’ll take Andrew Luck at home as I think he’s far superior to Dalton.  PICK Colts -3.5

Cowboys -7 vs. Lions

As much as it pains me to say, the Cowboys are probably the hottest team in the league right now.  I’m hoping their bubble gets burst but I don’t think it’s going to be this week.  It’s a big number to cover but they’ve been a good bet since November.  PICK Cowboys -7


Week 14 Results 7-8

Regular Season YTD Results 96-88

Week 14 Best Bets 0-3

Best Bets YTD 23-16

Parlays YTD 1-1

Teasers YTD 2-0

Quote of the Week

This week’s

“I just moved into my new house – so I had to go door to door to notify my neighbors that I am registered sex offender………I’m not really but it will keep those fucking kids out of my yard.”

– Comedian Scott Bolander


It’s nice to be back and hope everyone had a good Thanksgiving.  I apologize for not being able to post before the holiday but just didn’t have the time to sit down to get everything on the wonderful world wide web.  I was able to watch some of the Thanksgiving games but actually didn’t watch any other games live since I was doing a bit of driving on Sunday but watched some games on DVR later that night.  I didn’t get to comment on the catch pictured above.  There is only one word that comes to mind.  That word is Tits.

Is it the greatest catch ever?  The answer is No.  Is it the most athletic catch ever?  The answer is Yes.    The greatest catch ever is David Tyree’s helmet catch because it was on a game winning drive in the waning minutes of the Super Bowl.


Every year there is a shit division and this year is no different.  The NFC South is dogshit with the Saints and Falcons being 5-7 leading the division.   One of them will get a home game and more than likely be tremendous underdogs.  I’ll probably be there in that first round ready to take them because I remember a few years ago when Seattle were 7-9 division winners and they beat the tar our of the Saints.   There’s something about the whole thing with teams playing all hyped up for that game to prove everyone wrong.

The playoff picture hasn’t really become any clearer.  In the AFC there are an amazing 11 teams that are between 9-3 and 7-5.   That is a pretty incredible stat.   In the NFC, you could see the Cardinals go from being 9-1 a few weeks back to 9-4 and possible looking from the outside of the playoff race.  It’s crazy how quickly fortunes can change.


I was taking stock the other day and realized it’s currently a pretty sad state of affairs in Hal Verl’s world of sports fandom.   The teams I pledge allegiance to over the last few years have really hit tough sledding.  Now, I must say I have been a pretty fortunate fan when I look back at the overall big picture.   My 3 core teams of Giants, Devils & Yankees have done well in recent history.   The Giants have been to 5 Super Bowls since 1986 winning 4.  The Devils have been to 5 cups since 1995 winning 3.  The Yanks have been to 7 world Series since 1996 winning 5.   That’s a very good track record and has allowed me to watch some really big games.  The only one of those that is blurry is the 86 Super Bowl because I was only 8 but remember all of the other ones with very nice clarity.   I’ve also seen that game many times since so it’s clear now.

However, all 3 of these teams have hit hard times but the most disappointing part is that the prospects do not look bright.   The Giants last 3 season have basically been a disaster and they haven’t played in a really important game in 3 years.  They missed the playoffs 5 out of 6 years.    The Devils use to be an automatic into the playoffs for nearly 2 decades.   They’ve missed the playoffs last 2 years are not looking good this year.  The Yankees have also missed the playoffs last 2 years and haven’t played in a big game in a long time.   All 3 teams actually have eerily similar issues.  Their biggest problems stem from inferior rosters.  When compared to their peers, the holes in their rosters become very apparent.  All 3 of them also have front offices who have either been slow or not able to adapt their rosters.

There is hope for 2 of those teams.   The Giants have a star in Odell and is a game changing type player.  The Devils have a strong goaltender for a number of years in place and a strong core of young defensemen.  The Yankees, well, I really see no hope for quite some time.

My real silver lining is that I am not a NBA fan as I just don’t understand how people watch that league.  If they made college the only basketball league I would tune it as it’s far more watchable.



This video should be mandatory watching for every male at the conclusion of high school.   Absolutely Mandatory.   I had never seen this before and a thanks to a certain gallus gallus domesticus (that’s scientific for chicken) for sending this to me.   It’s a few minutes long but well worth it.  I love how the guy is wearing a shirt and tie to make it seem more official.


I’ve split the last 2 weeks but overall have had pretty good success the last month.  Been scoring around 120 on average.  I’ve able to ride Tre Mason and CJ Anderson on some good value and I’m sticking with them.  I’m terrible at picking QB’s, K’s & TE’s.  Just awful at it.

QB E Manning $7300

RB  CJ Anderson $7800

RB T Mason $7200

WR B Lafell $7100

WR D Hopkins $7500

WR O Beckham $8200

TE A Gates $5600

K  S Graham $4500

D  Chefs $4800




As we know the market has been on a pretty nice multi year move to the upside.  A share of the movement has been caused by Central Banks around the world keeping interest rates artificially low which make stocks more attractive because it really forces you into the equity markets.  You’re not going to sit on cash making nothing.  The Federal Reserve has already stopped their policy of easing and will at some point in the future start raising rates.  Will it be in 2015? 2016? Nobody knows for sure.   In the very near term markets do not like announcements of rate increases.  However as you see above markets normally still try to head higher in the 12 months after a rate increase.   More importantly, as you also see above, volatility comes into play far more after rate increases.  My personal belief is that the Fed will have their first rate increase in late next year.   All other economic indicators are in pretty good shape which should give us the potential for another positive year next year but I think the upside is limited in the single digits and we’ll see more choppy, volatile trading throughout the year.


NFL WEEK 14 lines1jpg_Page1

WEEK 12 GAMES PLOW HORSE REVIEW NFL WEEK 12 lines results1jpg_Page1


Week 12 Results 7-7

YTD Results 89-80

Week 10 Best Bets 1-2

Best Bets YTD 23-13

Parlays YTD 1-1

Teasers YTD 2-0

Quote of the Week

This week’s

“Do you ever notice when people talk about where they live is a good place to raise kids?  What they are really trying to say is where I live is really segregated.”

– Daniel Tosh

When I saw this video I was in shock for the first few seconds but then I realized.  See below for more in the Video of the Week section.

Week 11 was finally the week where the amazing winner had to end.  This is our first losing week since Week 2.  We went 1-2 on the best bets and a pedestrian 6-6 on all picks.   I can look at this 2 different ways.  The first way was to say I’m lucky to even go 1-2 because the Giants probably should have won their game given they had a first down at the 4 yard line late in the game which would have sent us to an 0-3 record.   I also can look at it on the bright side believing that they weren’t terrible picks.  I can argue the Giants should have been blown out if they were playing a more competent offense.  The Warehouses, although controlled the game, beat a bad team at home quarterbacked by an overmatched rookie and basically covered by a jump ball TD to Marshall earlier in the game.   I would think if the Rams and Broncos played 10 times then Denver would win 8-9 of those games so it was just one of those days.   Still chugging at a near 70% clip so I will be more optimistic this week and hope that this is not the start of a downtrend going into the final quarter of the season.


It’s week 12 so the season is about 3/4 of the way over.  That’s crazy every year seem to go by quicker and quicker.  God Bless you if you can figure out who the strongest teams are going into the last leg of the season.   Who’s the Best team in the NFC?  Right now you would probably have to say Green Bay just because what their offense has done lately.   It’s a pretty blurry conference.  Arizona is 9-1 but Drew Stanton is their QB and maybe they win a game in the playoffs but they will not make an extended run.  Dallas and Philly are decent but have their limitation.  Detroit is Detroit.  Seattle and San Fran are flawed and are nowhere near as good as they were last year.  Over in the AFC,  you would think NE and Denver are probably the top 2 but Denver just lost to the Rams and NE have been all over the map this year from world beaters to sloppy.   KC just lost to Derek Carr.  Indy, Miami, SD and the entire AFC North are all muddled together.

Just a big clusterfuck mess but exactly what the NFL wants.


As you are watching games you just get bombarded with commercials and most of them are just ads to attempt make you fatter.  This past week I saw 2 commercials almost back to back about Pizzas.  These blew my mind and the pictures below really don’t do them any justice.   The first one is Little Cesar’s Pretzel Crust Nacho Cheese Pizza.   The second one and the more disturbing of the 2 is the Papa John’s Fritos Chili Pizza.   #1 How is Little Cesars still in business?  #2 When did pretzels, nacho cheese, Fritos or chili become pizza ingredients?   If you have ever ordered either of these Pizza’s then just go sit in your car with the garage closed while the car is running and just end it.  Your life has derailed.



Whatever happened to just ordering a regular fucking pizza.

On a unrelated topic, I was reading about this Bill Cosby sexual assault thing and I just don’t get why this is a story.  If I had to nominate a celebrity who would have definitely sexual harassed or assaulted women then Bill Cosby definitely would have been in my top 3.   The guy is like 90 and has been in show business for decades.  Of course he has.


The fake video above was well done by Funny or Die.  The thing that sold for me at first was the appearance of Dr. Emmett Brown.  That was a good get.   The real one is nowhere near as cool but a pretty good start I guess.


I had some continued success with this last week as I won my stranger game and also evened up my season series vs the unnamed reader.  In both instances I rode a huge game from Leveon Bell on Monday night to victories.   Will try to keep this train going

QB C Kaepernick  $7300

RB C Anderson  $7200

RB D Sproles  $6000

WR J Nelson  $9000

WR T HIlton  $8500

WR O Beckham  $7500

TE C Fleener  $5400

K R Gould  $4600

D Saints  $4500


I’m sure everyone has seen gas prices tumble over the last couple of months.  This is obviously a great thing for people’s wallets & pocketbooks.  Below is a 5 year chart of average nationwide gas prices and it’s amazing to see that we are seeing prices that we haven’t seen since about May of 2010.    I’ve heard some idiots on TV say this is not a good thing for the economy and that couldn’t be further from the truth.  This will increase consumer spending especially for the lower class who spend more of their disposable income for energy than anyone else.  The main causes of the decrease is actually the increase in supply along with some global shifts in demand in Europe and Asia.   The US produces more oil now than it has in 3 decades.  By next year we will be producing over 9 mil barrels per day.  That almost a double in production from 2011.   Also OPEC hasn’t made any large cuts in production but even if they did it wouldn’t make as big of an impact as it use to.  Consumer spending makes up 70% of our economy so there is no way this isn’t a positive.  We are a spending and service economy.  We don’t make anything anymore as it all made in China or India so spending is how our economy gets bigger and progresses in lieu of small production output.  Forecasts are basically saying these prices will be here for the foreseeable future which is another good thing.  Any problems in the middle east could cause some prices spiking but supply and demand figures say these prices will stay like this into 2015.



NFL WEEK 12 linesjpg_Page1


NFL WEEK 11 lines resultsjpg_Page1LAST WEEK & YTD RESULTS

Week 10 Results 6-6

YTD Results 82-73

Week 10 Best Bets 1-2

Best Bets YTD 22-11

Parlays YTD 1-1

Teasers YTD 2-0

Quote of the Week

This week’s

“Before you marry a person you should make them use a computer with slow internet to see who they really are.”

– Will Ferrell

It’s good to be back in full force this week and, Wow, we just keep on rolling full steam ahead.  Another 3-0 on the best bets in Week 10 and actually went 10-2 on all of the picks.  We are up to 70% winners (21 out of 30) on Best Bets for the season.  That is pretty delicious.   However, I’m taking this past week with a grain of salt as the matchups were so bad and there were many one sided affairs.  You are seeing the cream rise to the top and the garbage sink to the bottom.   You need to take advantage of those weeks when picking games but things will start to tighten up as we get back into the division games towards the end of the year.  I’ll go into it below but I’m going with the simple philosophy on focusing on the shit teams and taking the other side.  It’s not really rocket science.  It will work until it doesn’t work anymore.  (Quick Note: The video above is one of my favorites and I wish I could be as excited for anything as this guy was for a train. If you can, listen to the guys commentary for the whole thing)


Have you seen either the Giants or Bears play the last month?  If you have then I’m sorry as you pretty much wasted a few hours on a Sunday or Monday night.  These teams have a few things in common.  Most notably, their defenses can’t stop anyone over a 60 minute game.  They might have a flash here or there but for the most part the opposition pretty much can control the game how they want.  Their offenses just aren’t dynamic enough to be able to consistently score points.  Again, they will have flashes but something inevitably will go wrong and just kill any momentum.   These 2 teams make up 2/3rds of my bets this week and for good reason.  When these teams lose, they lose horribly bad.  They do not play close games.   When they lose it’s by double digits and then some.   Who knows maybe this week that they will both reverse course and play better.  However, until they do then I’ll stay on that loser bandwagon.


I was watching Real Sports the other day and they did a feature on something I really wouldn’t consider sports.  They did a piece on the first real big video game league and first college team to offer scholarships for team video games.   Robert Morris University is the first college to be doing so.  This team looked just like you would think a bunch of nerds playing video games, predominately overweight and Asian.   It fascinates me that video games have gotten to this point.   Towards the end of the episode, they showed some sort of world championship thing that they have in South Korea.  It drew 40,000 people to the event and it was also cast in theaters in North America.   This blew my mind.  Are telling me that 40,000 people showed up to watch other people play video games?  Is there anything more boring or brutal than watching someone else play a video game.  I can remember watching other people play Madden or something and I would want to shoot myself.    They also highlighted a web based league called the League of Legends.  It’s broadcasted basically like Sportscenter but highlighting video games and they announce it like a normal sports play by play.  It’s fucking ridiculous.  The CEO of the League of Legends (which is this league’s name) also said that he believes in his lifetime that Video Games Sports will be in the Olympics.    There’s just no way that can even remotely happen.  Now I can see Chess clubs or Chess teams in high schools and colleges being replaced by video game teams.   They are both a skill and take tremendous amounts of practice learning strategy but in the Olympics?  Give me a fucking break.   It also said the ESPN 3 has shown a few tournaments already.  Thank God, I just don’t have time to locate ESPN 3 on my TV as my head would explode.  In the future, if my daughter ever came home and said “Hi Dad, this is my new boyfriend Quan and he is the star athlete on the Robert Morris E Sports team.”  I’m not sure who I would put in a headlock first.  Now you might be saying that’s racist because of the name I chose.  It has nothing to do with race, it’s really just more bullying a fucking nerd on my part.


Staying on the train theme


Starting to get a little traction here.  I won 2 in a row vs the Fan Duel strangers I take on and finally broke my losing streak vs. the P&T reader.  Been probably more lucky then anything as I was able to avoid the big point getters like Marshawn Lynch or A Rodgers the last few weeks.    If anyone wants to challenge me in a head to head on Fan Duel my username is vgeorge19 and I will take on all challengers.

QB T Brady $9500

RB L Bell $8600

RB F Gore $7000

WR B Cooks $6800

WR J Matthews $5500

WR J Jones $8200

TE L Donnell $5200

K B Cundiff $4600

D Atlanta $4600


I’ve gone ahead and replaced the Survivor pool section which offers nothing at this point as I’ve been eliminated.   I figured what’s the point continuing that and I should use this space for  educational purposes.  Hey if you have read this far on this blog you might as well learn something that could be helpful instead of listening to my demented thoughts.  Let’s delve into the real legal gambling in the world, the stock market.

AAPL chartjpg_Page1

If you know me then you know I have been saying buy Apple stock pretty much regardless of price for many years now.  It was a little dicey for a while but you don’t waver from a company like this.  If you do not own any then pick some up no matter how small the investment and just sit on it for 10 years or longer.  If you have young kids and you were going to save money for their college this year, start with buying a few shares.  I would say do this every year for the next 5 years at least if not longer for them.   Don’t worry about the price day to day and reinvest the dividends back in the stock.   If something happens with the company that changes it’s path over the next few years you’ll hear about it and you can reevaluate.  It’s the biggest company in the world so probably won’t miss the news.  I just don’t see it happening anytime soon.

I found this chart enlightening and also funny at the same time.  I had to format this chart a little bit so it cut off the years on the bottom.  But this is a chart from 2003 to current day.  Russia Market Cap is in Red and Apple’s is in the Green.  Apple is worth more now than the entire country of Russia.


NFL WEEK 11 linesjpg_Page1


NFL WEEK 10 lines resultsajpg_Page1


Week 10 Results 10-2

YTD Results 76-67

Week 10 Best Bets 3-0

Best Bets YTD 21-9

Parlays YTD 1-1

Teasers YTD 2-0

Quote of the Week

This week’s

John, chicks dig me because I rarely wear underwear and when I do it’s something unusual.

–Line from “Stripes”